Showing posts with label Stocks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Stocks. Show all posts

Monday, July 6, 2015

Search for an Asset that has Zero Liabilities



On my very 1st post in this blog  – I posted something about the Billionaire Wealth Building Formula. This formula was actually something I heard from a real estate seminar, which, now that I’ve really thought about it – actually originated from a simple idea from a simple book that til now has really stuck in my mind and which I still learn / apply and try to follow until this day. I’m talking about Robert Kiyosaki and his ground-breaking books on the Cashflow Quadrant. Particularly in the book Rich Dad Poor Dad, he talked about the SINGLE, MOST IMPORTANT secret of the wealthy, the one which he says we should remember out of all the principles he was teaching in his books – and that is: “the secret of the rich is to build and build ASSETS, and minimize liabilities”. It’s simple, yet insightful – and true to the core, even in real life. It’s not just some superficial marketing slogan. This is what he stated:

Rule One. You must know the difference between an asset and a liability, and buy assets. If you want to be rich, this is all you need to know. It is Rule No. 1. It is the only rule. This may sound absurdly simple, but most people have no idea how profound this rule is. Most people struggle financially because they do not know the difference between an asset and a liability. "Rich people acquire assets. The poor and middle class acquire liabilities, but they think they are assets".

Build and acquire assets. That is “all you need to know”, he says. If there are assets that you can build which does not give out negative returns or liabilities – the better. One asset which a normal person would usually think of is land or property, which you can define as a very good asset, especially when you talk with a bank and ask for loans or get more capital for your business. It serves as a collateral. But it does have liabilities – or taxes, which you should pay sooner or later.


The fact is: there are assets out there that give out minimal liabilities. I know of people who has rental property – it’s a very good asset, although usually there are risks (what business doesn’t have any risk?). Depending on how you control and manage the risks – the idea of this “real estate” asset is what I would not hesitate sharing and recommending to my closest friends. Because it’s proven to generate real income to the investor / business owner.

Another one good asset is a stock portfolio that you fully understand, and where you have a very sound strategy. I’m part of a group that recommends sound analysis (fundamental and technical analysis) on current trends and stocks today.  I still follow them this day from time to time, but this investment vehicle is something you really need to study – or else, you WILL get risks (or losses – meaning: MONEY), if you don’t know what you are doing. It’s something you also need to commit to and be devoted on, watching your stocks and your money grow, everyday, if you can. Yes - there is money here  (see link: http://investinggeek.blogspot.com/2012/07/jackpot-on-eei.html). It’s proven to be real, and people in the Philippines are having phenomenal unprecedented growth especially NOW, in the young history of our stock market. But with this financial vehicle, it will depend on how you manage and embrace risk. It depends on what market analysts usually state as your “RISK APPETITE”. Because in stocks – you will have to understand and fully accept – you will have to lose money, short-term, mid-term, long-term: you will need to learn how to accept it INTENTIONALLY, in order for your money grow to where you want it to be.

These are just some samples of good assets that you can look out for. Although.. I have not even began talking about some other real ASSETS that some real wealthy people have, from what I’ve found out, that DOESN’T HAVE ANY liabilities. Some people even have an asset, that grows exponentially so that their money will never dry up – and some are in financial vehicles that are over-capitalized that their business are bigger and even more stable than the banks.

I’m talking about assets that people really work hard for – they build their businesses and build a foundation, so that soon they will reap the benefits after a certain time (sometimes, even in just 2,5, 10  years). And when the time comes or when the asset is “ripe”, you would have setup a system which gives you stable wealth (enough money, enough time for yourself or your family, travel, fulfilled dreams, etc.) – so that you will just earn the benefits of your hard work day in and day out, even when you sleep. Leave it 6 months, 1 year – go on vacation, and you will still reap the rewards of that asset. Yes, you can call it early retirement.

There are assets that have very minimal risk (and even some with ZERO CAPITAL to start up), and doesn’t have liabilities. Some assets doesn’t even need more capitalization, doesn’t need your money / capital / investment because it’s already over-capitalized (I just recently heard that term, and really liked it). 

Yes, sounds too good to be true. But it is true. I’ve seen people do it. I’ve met, or sometimes consult, associate, and even work on some projects with people who has done it. I ask for advice and for their point-of-views, or simply ask everyday life questions, when I get the chance. And even in our everyday lives - you see people do it, it’s all in the news. Business section.

There are people who become self-made millionaires just with a dream and a passion. Just think about it, and observe your environment now - Henry Sy did it when he established his system of chain stores and malls. He risked a lot in the beginning, and dreamed. From what I know, the story was that he usually goes to some trips to Tagaytay, up the hills / viewing decks overlooking the mountains and the lake, and was amazed at the vast lands below him (read the wall on Taal Vista). That is where he formed and dreamed about his vision. And now, he has buildings and malls all over the place (where he once was looking at). And it’s not just in Batangas or Laguna, or the area below Tagaytay. He has establishments all over the archipelago. Now, he is the richest person in the Philippines. What did he do in the beginning? He was in the distribution business. He moved shoes. 

And now, most importantly, he has an asset that he has built, and a legacy that he gives out to his children and grandchildren. Who doesn’t want a life where he can give the best options for his kids, his sons/daughters and grandchildren? Yes, he paid dearly in the beginning, worked hard, and worked smart. Now he is reaping the benefits from his hard work, even when he sleeps all day. Because he has built an asset. 

From what I have found out on my own and continually see on my ongoing search for good and sound businesses / investments (yeah - you could say I’m an investing geek --better call me an ASSETS geek now), that dream life you have dreamed of is really not impossible. You just have to educate and open up your mind to the possibilities, start with educating yourself financially, and start with reading books about money, businesses and investing. Instead of looking at the Headlines page, where you will usually see grim and negative broadcasts, go straight to the business page. Yeah – stock A and B soared. Real Estate is booming. Inflation rate is going steady. If you don’t know these yet - ask why: research reliable sources, look for and associate with reliable people.

Search for that asset. That ultimate asset, the asset that will work for you – and most especially, continually look for an asset that will give zero liabilities so you can fast track to your financial freedom. You will find yourself educated and gaining more knowledge, and believing even more that you will get to your dream life even while being in that process of searching. Sometimes you will fall, but the important thing is to move back up and continue on your journey.

Just be educated yourself, and take a little risk by looking, examining and searching for that asset. Be open with any opportunities that come your way. Who knows? You just might suddenly stumble into a real good one – but when you see it, don’t just step on it, don’t leave any stone (or opportunity) unturned. Pick it up, and investigate. If it’s a franchise, talk to the franchisee. Check and talk directly with people who are doing it (and have succeeded in it) to see if it’s a real deal. You just need a proper investigation, to observe and learn – and most especially, always check your risk appetite. Is this something you can really do? Is it worth the risk, going out of your way - out of your comfort zones? What does the people who succeeded in that business or has gotten results in their investments say? What would have “rich dad” said? 

If your dream is bigger than your fears – there is NO risk you can never overcome. You can find, you can search, and you can build those assets. You just need to figure it out yourself… don’t just say “I can’t (afford) it.” Ask: “how can I (afford) it?” 

The fact of the matter is: whether your goal is simply to get by, to bring food to the table, to bring your kid to the most prestigious school, or to become a paragon of real positive change – then you will need money. Bro. Bo Sanchez once said – if you are to serve in your church, you need money to help your church in their outreach projects (and also to help ensure that church or religious organization continues to operate and “support the supporters”). The current reality is: even priests or pastors need money to be able to serve and effectively do their duty. Everybody eats, everybody drinks, and everybody sleeps. Bo Sanchez aptly stated it: money is not really the root of all evil – love of money is.

So read on. Come with me and let’s look at our options. Let’s do a search for that ultimate asset, so that one day we’ll be able to have more, do more, and be more.


What will you really do for your dreams? Will you change something, or remain where you are - hoping that your dream will come right at your door? Have you really thought about it, or have you already given up on your dreams and just gone on living the way you are now?

Photo credits: http://www.mergersandinquisitions.com/hedge-funds-institutional-asset-management/

Saturday, October 6, 2012

Cost Averaging? or Market Timing? (a Question on Stocks Investing)

EEI stock on PSE - back when it was still about to trend higher up
EEI stock on PSE - back when it was still about to trend higher up

A friend of mine recently asked me this question via FB:
may tanong ako sa stock investing. i'm following bo sanchez's stock updates. i buy when low. then napansin ko nawala ang gains ko because i kept on buying at buy below prices pero dahil tumataas na ang price per share, tumataas din ang average prices ko. for ex. MBT. dati ang average price ko was 69. i noticed na may gain nako na almost 50% when MBT price per share went up to over 100. but i held on to my stocks. i kept on buying and the ave price went up to 72 na and my gains were now barely 30%, also because share prices pulled back from 100 to 92. sana pala nagbenta nako nung nag 100 ang price. but i haven't sold any MBT stocks.
so i experimented today. i observed na tumaas ang FPH up to 80/share and i noticed na may gains nako na 23%. 80 is still below the buy-below price of 102. what i did was i sold all of my FPH shares and i plan to buy again when it pulls back a bit so i can start from 0, so to speak. i plan to do range trading pero guided by bo sanchez's recommendations pa din. am i doing the right strategy? i'm thinking kasi na as long as i see positive gains, that means i'm earning di ba?
that's what i did with ICT. nag experiment ako. a few months ago, i read in COL research that ICT shares are at market values at 71-75/share. so they recommended to buy when prices pull back to 67. and it did! well i bought at 67.50 and it went up to 71 kanina lang. so good move. pero i only bought up to 250 shares lang coz i was scared to lose my money so ang kinita ko was barely 600 bucks hehehe. better than negative.

Here is my answer:

Hi (friend), nice read !smile

I think for MBT, what you were doing was Peso Cost averaging right? That's actually normal, as you accumulate per month or per same period of time at the same amount, the average goes up as the price that you get to buy them also goes up. If you really want long term for MBT, then you can continue to buy and be consistent on the Cost Ave Method. Although 50% is already a very good one. smile But if MBT continues to go up in the long term, who knows? Your gains may go up 50% again.

For FPH, I think you are doing just right. Although if you plan to range trade, yes follow Bo's recommendation. Try to understand the reason why -- the reasoning is: BUY in DIPS. If it dips down low, you buy. If it goes up and reaches a peak you set as your target, you can sell. Take NOTE though -- this kind of market timing is hard, you will need in-depth knowledge or experience and application of technical analysis. YOu have to be careful -- make sure that the mid-term or long-term outlook is UPTREND (range trading is generally used for stocks on a consolidating trend). You will see it through the charts. You will really have to apply what you learn in tech analysis to get proper timing. To be extra safe, make sure you are riding on a fundamentally-sound stock. I haven't been following FPH, but from what I've heard ever since, from COL fundamental outlook, they've been consistently grading it naman as a fundamentally good company.

For your ICT -- that's good! Any positive gain is good. I've heard somebody term themselves"chupitero". But any gain in the stock market is a good gain - kahit gano pa kababa (or kaunti). Kahit pa binteng lang! So I agree with them. A chupitero is a chupitero -- he is still.... panalo! hehe smile

We may be getting gains now, but gaining in stocks is not really that easy. Once you get losses, you'll know how it feels like. But -- no pain, no gain. You may loss some, but if you know how to handle it well, and know how to use that pain to really learn something -- you will gain in experience. That is, to me, what will give you the golden eggs. wink

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Happy Investing to all! ;)

Friday, July 6, 2012

Jackpot on EEI

EEI stock - Philippine Stock Exchange Market (PSE)


Notes on EEI CORPORATION stock - July 4, 2012

EEI Corporation (PSE Stock Code: EEI) has very good fundamentals (huge line-up of projects in the future and made ~80% jump on profits this year). I bought it at Price P6.2/sh last 6/28/2012, now it's at 6.65 and I have a gain of 6.76% after a week. A look at Technicals also helped.

Will set up my price stop targets.. but contemplating on concentrating it more on a long-term (maybe on cost-averaging mode na lang). Hopefully it resumes its uptrend. It's still on HOLD status by COL (CitisecOnline) since 6/18, but technicals seems to show a different thing.

RSI (entering ~70%) seems to show it's nearing overbought levels, but this could be temporary. MACD is picking up, as well as Volume (it seems). Still need more in-depth work & study on this to get to figure out the outlook better. But uptrend looks very promising.

Seems like I'm winning (timing na timing!). I got it just before it went straight up. I wished I stacked up more cash for this - but that's how stock investing is: you will never know if you did the best thing when you start a bid (because there are risks), but you will get to decide or know, or learn, days or weeks after if it was indeed a good choice. You can trust your instincts; but experience, continuous study and vigilance will really help in a long way.

Entered this on my Stock Market Journal (for Philippine Stock Market).

Thursday, March 29, 2012

The 2 Stock Market Approaches that Most People Don't Know About [and how we can use one of them to evaluate a Solar Investment] - Part 2



Hi everyone!

I sincerely apologize for having gone for so long, when I promised I will expand further on my earlier post:
The 2 Stock Market Approaches that Most People don't know about [and how we can use one of them to evaluate a Solar Investment] - Part 1.

It takes time for me to write, it can be mentally and emotionally draining because I write not just to do SEO or SEM (hello, internet geeks!) or promote myself. I put my heart & soul into it, and I try to make sure I will be responsible & objective as I can.

Anyway, let me give a quick lookback.

At my earlier post, I said that the basics of Technical Analysis include:
- How to know if the current price that we see on the news is a good price to get in
- How to know if the price is trending up or down
- How to know if we are in a bull market or a bear market


I will try to answer all these questions, using the stock charts that we have for our PCOMP or Philippine Composite Index.

Also, I'd like point out - as early as now - there may be people who may start asking why I'm divulging information that could be detrimental to their strategies. Or, some people may get overly paranoid saying, "Oh no! This guy is spilling out the secrets!"

Well, sorry.. but these are not secrets. There are a lot of resources out there. A few of which are here:
http://www.swing-trade-stocks.com/stock-market-books.html
Technical Analysis of Stock Trends by Robert D. Edwards and John Magee
Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications

[If you know of some great links or websites or books, please share them!]


Okay, so let's get on with it.



How to know through Stocks Charts that a stock is trending up/down (or bullish/bearish), or consolidating


Know your Trade Horizon

First, they say in life, as well as with business or investments, you have to KNOW THYSELF.

So, the very first question to ask then, is not "hey, could you tell me a stock I could pick now and tell me if it's trending up or down, so I could gain quickly". Hey, get-rich-quick-schemer, get outta here. I'm not here to do magic.

The right question, I guess for me, is this:
What is your RISK appetite?

Are you a trader, or doing it short-time?
Gusto mo ba maka-syota si LC, or si MEG Ryan?

Or, are you an investor, or doing it mid-term to long-term?
Ang gerlprenin/boyprenin o asawain si BELla, sTELla, or si MERyl Streep?


It doesn't actually matter if you are classifying yourself as such (trader or investor), the important thing here is that you know what your trade horizon is. Meaning, how do you look at your investments? Do you have a short-term or longer-term outlook?

If you find this hard to answer, saying "depende po e, minsan short term ako, na kapag natatalo na sa short-term nagiging long-term na po ako."
(Well, if this is your outlook, I don't think this is a good strategy po sir / ma'm.)


What is your Risk Appetite?

Okay... Let's try another question: Hanggang saan ang kaya ninyo i-risk?
Or: ok lang po ba sa inyo na iiwan ninyo ang stock investment ninyo for a year na hindi ito nagagalaw? Or, for a few months lang ang kaya mo? Or, maybe a few weeks, or a few days lang ba? 

Or baka po 'di na kayo mapakali, after a few days, 'di ka na mapigil na tignan ang stocks portfolio mo kada oras (kahit sarado ang stock market).. "ano, kumita na ba ako?? Nagbago na ba, umakyat na ba presyo?"

Kung ayan po ang symptoms ninyo.. baka po ibig sabihin ay more on short-term kayo. Or, pwede rin na nag-start pa lang talaga kayo at natututo pa lang, at di nyo pa gaano napag-iisipan.


So, by this, we could say your investment horizon can be determined by your risk appetite. If you are comfortable leaving your money invested on a stock, having studied and carefully researched on the company you chose, say in a few months or a few years - then you may have a longer term outlook. Also, those who prefer cost averaging methods look at a longer term return for their investment.

To make it short, you have to know yourself, and understand if you are here thinking on a short-term, mid-term or long term outlook.


So, in Technical Analysis, if you have a short-term outlook, you would probably look at the stock charts in DAILY or in WEEKLY views, or in 3 months, or maybe til 6 months views. For a longer-term outlook, you probably will look at the charts from time to time, and look more at 3-months, to 6-months, 1-year to 5-year charts.

Here is a sample for 3 months, running from January until March 2012:


You could see here that the Philippine Stock Market has been trending up and getting hot since January. The purple line on the graph, we could say, is the movement of the Stock Price (although my sample is the Philippine Composite or PCOMP index, so this is not a particular stock or company, but a set of companies composed together to form a composite or an index - it's like an average of all the stocks, from small caps to large cap stocks including blue chip stocks, so it could better represent the status of the Philippine Stock Market).

For now, let's not look at the graphs saying Volume, MACD, or RSI.


Here is a sample for 6 months, running from October 'til March 2012:


We could see here, through the purple line, that the Philippine Stock Market slowed down a bit from mid-October 'til about the end of the year.


Next Important Question: How do you know if a stock is going up or down?  


To answer this question, we have to define what is a TREND, then know what trendlines mean in Technical Trading.

Well, I don't know the formal definition of a trend, but it is similar to what they say in the news about a trending topic. Meaning pinaguusapan, or umuuso. But with this, we could also mean something is hindi na pinaguusapan, or nalalaos na.

So in stocks investing, when we talk about a trend, it simply means the stock is following a pattern. It is either going up or down. In technical analysis, we could easily see this in the charts. We could say a stock is going on an uptrend or a downtrend.

Let's use the Philippine stocks composite as our sample, this time using a 5-year sample chart:


Again, let's not look at the graphs saying Volume, MACD, or RSI for now.


Samples of Uptrends or Bullish trends:


On the graph above, I've indicated 3 instances of uptrends in the Philippine Stock Market for a 5-year period, indicated by the red lines. Try comparing the original graph with the one I've just shown above so you'll see what I mean.

These red lines are what we call the trendlines. Technical Analysts draw this on a graph (like the one above) so it would be easier to study their next moves and get projections. The graph that I use here is not an ordinary graph or stock chart. Try to look for Stock Chart apps or programs out there for your preferred PC operating system or mobile gadget. For me, I prefer using my Windows PC. The app that I use is from my online stock broker, CitisecOnline.com - a java chart is provided on their website when you become a member.


Downtrends or Bearish trends:


You'll know we are on a downtrend if we see all sorts of bad news and panic in the business section of our daily newspapers, sometimes echoing whatever is happening on other stock markets - especially the US stock market.



Technically Speaking 

In technical analysis, we could further define and more aptly state what an uptrend or a downtrend is.

Using a chart, we could see that an uptrend is characterized by a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).

On the other hand, a downtrend is characterized by a series of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL).


In pictures or graphs:




Try going back on the charts that I've shown and try to see why I said it was an uptrend, or a downtrend.


My post is getting long. I have to cut it for now. Next time we'll see what it means by what the newspapers or stock market experts sometimes say as "consolidating", during times when our Philippine Stock Market is on a consolidation period.